Friday, November 8, 2013

Battle of the Coathanger - Round One 2014 preview



The four games held so far in the battle of the bridge have been decidedly one sided with the new comers being on the receiving end of some heavy losses.
 
 



For a newcomer the scouring accuracy of 3.5 for is quite reasonable however the scoring average of 3.9 against highlights the ease with which the opposition score.  It is an obvious understatement to say that the Giants need to stop the hemorrhaging in defence.  A scoring shot average of close to 20 can win a number of games only if the scoring shots against is also about 20.
Comparing to the Swans the difference between a cellar dweller and a finalist/ grand finalist contender is obvious:
  




However, there are worrying signs of a leaking defence and a bit of a collapse in the offense.  The attack side will no doubt be boosted by the dual attack of Franklin and Trippet.  The above graph will no doubt give opposition hope to exploit a defence that appears to be on the slide.  Going into 2014 the Swans do have a healthy 3.9 points per scoring shot for and a lowish 3.5 against – highlighting an ease of entering attack and applied pressure in defence.  The resulting prediction is:


The drop off in the Swans defence limits the margin to 13 points and does not quite sneak into the margin required for a streak tip despite the strong history of the Swans over the Giants.
 




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