Friday, May 2, 2014

Dogs v Dons & Derby in the West

Looking at the Experts tips (from the papers - a collection of Footy Maths Institute margins to be added to the database tomorrow) shows what we all believe to be true that this week has a collection of one sided matches.







However, when looking at the differences between the short term an longer term form as measured in my model highlights that I am expecting the West Coast to win by 21pts and the Dogs v Dons will be decided by less than a kick - I have the Dons sneaking home by three points but remember that the Dogs have had their kicking boots on this year.



Given the apparent one sided nature of this round I thought that the standard deviation or spread of margins tipped by the paper experts would be tighter than previous weeks but they are marginally smaller:









The full season comparison is: (I will edit this page once I enter the FMI tips)