Round ! part 2

 According to footytips.com.au the bookies have the Giants as favourite ($1.70 to $2.15) but the general tippers favour the Pies (70 to 30%). 

The Carlo Monty model has the Giants winning by a comfortable 34 points - warranting a flexi and streak tip. Historically the model has tipped correctly 60% of the time over the last ten games between these two teams (2017 to 2023) and importantly all three times that the Giants have played at home (with an average error of 20 points).

Round ! (the round formerly known as 1): All home teams

The Carlo Monty model received a reminder email today (28 days out from the start of the season) from footytips.com.au So of course I jumped right in and put my four home team tips in, three flexi tips and went for all four tips in the streak.

The streak tipping officially, I did not predict Sydney but as it is the first game nothing to lose if tip incorrectly for the streak.  The Gold Coast tip is tentatively in as a streak tip on the basis of all three of my internal models (main plus two outlier checks) are in tight agreement (and bookies odds are hovering around $1.50) - I will see if I regret this tip.

The opening game tip is for Sydney but not confidently.  Out of the last ten Swans: Demons clashes my model has only had a 30% success rate (all Melbourne wins) and my margin of error is just north of 6 goals.