Monday, March 18, 2024

Round 2: a lot of close games this week (watch Dogs v Gold Coast and Port v Tigers)

Although it was highlighted that the Hawks would have more scoring shots their accuracy was not as predicted and Stringer slotted in a couple of crucial goals from long range.  Bombers did win but my analysis is Hawks lost it.

The Pies are not going well (as predicted) and the model is predicting the Saints notch up a close win in Round 2.

Carlton rolling on, Richmond fielding a team - both as predicted.

Geelong snuck home but the Crows didn't.

Melbourne had a bigger win than I anticipated which makes the Doggies tip this week look shakey.

Flexi tips missed on Hawks and Crows but snagged 0.84 to take total to $2.45.

Streak was conservative and is on an active 4 (but 8 behind footytips.com.au leader who fell on the Freo win)

Tips this week:

Saints over Pies by 3: Flexi 50

Adelaide at home over Cats by 16; Flexi 20

Freo by 20 over North in Melbourne

Hawks by 9 over Melbourne (in a model over rule: to be discussed if I have time this week as I am at a conference)

Sydney comfortably over Bombers by 29

Dogs over Gold Coast by 12; Flexi 30 and probably the match of the round.

Port by 7 over Tigers (model thinks this much closer than my heart tells me (all Carlo Monte Models think this will be close so maybe another good one to watch)

GWS to account for West Coast by at least 37

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