Finals Week 1

All home teams picked this week in what should be a good selection of games to watch (we want Hawks and Swans to both win so as not to meet the week before the Grand final).



The model initially picks Richmond to down the Power by a hefty 21 but weighted averages and the influence of Odds convert the tip to Port (Richmond would need to firm to sub $2.50 to change the model: or model needed to tip Tigers by 24+ to over ride Bookie Odds and Weighted form/ shot average rules).  It does however, suggest that Richmond warrant a wager at the current odds (if you are a betting person - declaration: I am not placing any hard earned on the game),



Also of considerable note is the very poor form of the model with these team combinations over the last ten meetings: I need all predictions to come true in order to move towards some respectability.



The footytips.com.au streak of 18 cannot be topped this year so hopefully it is good enough to allow me to stay in the top 1000 given the tipping is back in the pack and flexi has dropped out of the top 5% for the first time in three years. (well there is always next year - and Go Hawks).