Round 3, 2014 - The Thinking of the Crowd

Rather than just dryly presenting my tips for this week I have combined the "Expert" tips and margins from the Traditional and On line published sources (The Age, Herald Sun, Footy Maths Institute and a collection of other Internet sources).  The tips and margins were entered into good old Excel and the cumulative distributions generated and shown in the graphs below.  The average of the 75 tipsters is presented in the table along with my predictions (which differ in two cases).  Notably my model manages to predict the biggest Crows win - if this comes to pass then I will devote the next blog to explaining how the model did this.