Despite my lack of interest in tipping the preseason competition: If we make the assumption that both Carlton and Brisbane will try equally hard to win the preseason competition and treated the final as if it was a regular season game the Carlo Monty model is predicting a comfortable 107 to 82pt win for Carlton.
So let us see if we can kick off the shackles of 2012 with a successful prediction and get in a good mood for the season proper.
Your tip is 25 to the Blues, mine is 33.
ReplyDeleteMy tip and margin is based on Carlton scoring shot total of 24.3 and Brisbane 18.7
DeleteAllowing for rounding and different distributions for goal/ point accuracy my median margin is 25 points and the blowout margin is 53 points
I am predicting Carlton to win: 96% and Brisbane 4% (these totals include the draw percentage of 1%: o.5% each)