Round 1

Let us forget the rush of blood that saw us tip Carlton in the NAB Cup (the season had not even started and I broke one of the rules by placing a tip on the pre-season - the other rules are remove all emotion when tipping; have faith in the model; remember a month is a lifetime in football and take it one week at a time (broke that rule with long range forecasting!).  So to Round One:






The Swinburne tipsters (http://www.swinburne.edu.au/lss/statistics/footytips.html ) are in line with the bookies predictions (as referenceced on the footy tipping site: footytips.com.au).

I differ with a narrow win over the Brisbane Lions for the Doggies at home (one of only a few I am expecting to tip for the Dogs during the year and despite the pre-season form of Brisbane); I also tip a narrow win for North over Collingwood.

Chance of a perfect burger round about 10% (8.8 to 11.0)